On the surface there seems to be some confusion about Israel’s relationship with the US. On the one hand we have Israel’s Ambassador to the US, Michael Oren, yesterday telling Israel’s diplomats in Jerusalem, “Relations are in the state of a tectonic rift in which continents are drifting apart." The remarks mainly refer to Obama’s stance on settlements in the West Bank and building in East Jerusalem.
On the other hand, however, we have two countries united in standing against Iran and what seems to be a joint build up of forces in preparation for a confrontation which will involve both the US and Israel. To compound the notion of confusion, at about the same time as Oren is sounding off about relations with the US over the Palestine issue, America’s top military man, Admiral Mike Mullen, is in Israel to confer with Ehud Barak, Israel’s Defence Minister, and Gabi Ashkenazi, Israel’s Chief of Staff, and is telling them that ‘he always tries to see threats and challenges from the Israeli angle”.
There is a simple explanation for this apparent contradiction in US policy toward Israel.
Obama cannot be seen to be caving in to Israel when it comes to resolving the Palestine issue and US efforts to create a Palestinian state and so, for the sake of public opinion, needs to be seen resisting Netanyahu’s insistence that settlement building and building in Jerusalem continues. Of course, Netanyahu’s insistence, in turn, is designed to placate Zionist public opinion.
The fact is that once the final confrontation with Iran has taken place, the whole question about Palestine’s future, settlements in the West Bank and building in East Jerusalem becomes academic. Israel will, so they hope, have defeated Hezbollah and Hamas and occupied south Lebanon and the Gaza, together with a full occupation of the West Bank, while the US will, so they hope, have bombed Iran to the negotiating table and regime change. The US will accept Israeli occupation of the West Bank, the Gaza and south Lebanon as fait accompli.
There will be no Palestinian state. The US will accede to Israel’s creation of a Greater Israel. The West will support Israel and the Arab states, having witnessed the destruction of the Iranian regime, will become utterly compliant.
That, at least, is what the Israelis and the US hope will happen.
The alternative could be that the Israelis and the US don’t get it all their own way. Israel is a very small and, therefore, very vulnerable target. Any threat to the existence of Israel may cause them to lash out with whatever weapons they have, in which case…
The OneState binational solution is now the ONLY solution. Jews and Palestinians supported by the rest of he world must demand it.