AUSTRALIANS AT WAR

AUSTRALIANS AT WAR
THE NEW AMERICAN CENTURY is a compelling factual history of neoconservatism and its influence on US Foreign Policy in the Middle East during the first decade of the twenty-first century. Click on image above for details.

Sunday, May 30, 2010

ISRAELI SUBMARINES OFF IRAN WILL PROVIDE U.S. WITH ‘PLAUSIBLE DENIABILITY’ AGAINST ACCUSATIONS OF INVOLVEMENT OF STARTING WAR AGAINST IRAN.

The news that Israeli submarines equipped with nuclear cruise missiles are to be deployed in the Persian Gulf near the Iranian coast should come as no surprise to Middle Eastern affairs watchers.

Over the last few years the threat of war between Israel and Iran has never been far away from being of major concern to the world. When Democrat Obama won the 2008 Presidential election against the war-like Republican John McCain, the immediate threat of war receded though never entirely went away. However, of late, the rhetoric against Iran from both Israel and the US has again grown more intense. Israel’s stance has not changed; it would like to see immediate ‘regime change’ in Iran, preferably by the US bombing Iran into capitulation, but has refused to take the option off the table of itself striking Iran unilaterally if necessary.

Part of the West’s rhetoric against Iran is the accusation that Iran has a nuclear weapons program. Despite the fact that no actual evidence exists that supports this claim, the rhetoric, nonetheless, has persisted in the hope that the people of the West will hear the claim so often and persistently that they will come to believe it even without any actual hard evidence. In this way, the West hopes that public opinion will support an attack on Iran even without any evidence of Iran having a nuclear weapons program.

Unfortunately for the warhawks in the US and Israel, Bush’s wars during much of the first decade of the twenty-first century, the fact that those wars continue still, and the lies that were used to start them, have left the American people wary of going to war yet again. For this reason Obama has trodden a careful path with his relations with Iran while Israel has remained far more belligerent. Obama has had no choice but to go down a diplomatic path to ‘disarm’ Iran while keeping the military option, as Israel has, on the table just as Bush did.

This has meant that Israel has had to wait while the US goes through the whole rigmarole of pushing for sanctions through the UN, waiting for Iran to ignore the sanctions, then applying for even more tougher sanctions, and then waiting to see what outcome there will be from that before they can take any military action to ‘disarm’ Iran. This process has frustrated the Israelis who are anxious to finalise their plans for a Greater Israel before the final opportunity to do so is lost with an enforced agreement with Palestinians to create their own state.

This has left Israel with no other alternative but to unilaterally strike Iran themselves. The problem, however, is that they the Israelis could not possibly launch a ‘unilateral’ strike against Iran by air assault from Israel without considerable collusion and assistance, covertly or otherwise, from the US; the logistics of fuel acquisition, ordnance, intelligence, etc., simply do not allow it.

The only chance the Israelis have of beginning their final confrontation with Iran without it looking as though the US is part of the attack is to attack Iran unilaterally from the sea.

Hence the submarines.

But let’s not be fooled by this ruse. If Israel did attack Iran using its cruise missiles, nuclear or otherwise, they would still need to have the US backing them. Whilst ostensibly it may look as though the Israelis have attacked unilaterally, the Israelis will require immediate assistance from the US in helping prevent Iranian retaliation which means massive preparation and, therefore, prior knowledge on Obama’s part. The Israelis and the US may be able to fool some of the world into thinking that an attack against Iran had nothing to do with the US but the reality is that the US will be as much involved with any attack against Iran as Israel would be.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Israel will Lats about 5 Days if they DO

Anonymous said...

This is warming up quicker than anyone anticipated.

However, America and Israel both delegate Iran into some sort of sub-par military when in fact Iran has a very modern and well trained military and some pieces of cutting edge Russian hardware to go with it.

The Iranians also possess the same submarines that the Chinese do, remembering the Chinese sub that surfaced well within a carrier screen to wave at the US CVN, it was not detected until it actually surfaced and frightened the bejasus out of the USN, if the Iranians catch the Israeli's in their backyard, they will blow them out of the water.

But the rabid Israeli's may make a massive mistake and attack one of the Russian or Chinese submarines, thinking it Iranian and then the whole thing will go hot very quickly.

It is probably then that the Americans will take a smart step back from the whole affair because if in that scenario, it defends Israel, is America going to commit suicide launching against Russia or China?

It always amuses me too, that every time the US tries to do something to Iran, it always backfires, this is one such scenario that will backfire big time for the Americans, possibly enough to break finally the country.

Anonymous said...

Perhaps it's time someone implemented the "delilah option."

Anonymous said...

I also do not think russia or china will stand idly by and let iran be be iraqed ,and if usa involves itself it will be unlike the last massacres.and maybe israel will disapear or become quiet and peaceful,they can take their samson option to hell with them.by the way people are leaving israel in numbers that lessen the population there.

traducteur said...

Perhaps we shouldn't worry too much: there's probably quite a good chance that the Zionists will run their submarines into each other. Z's are not only cowardly, they're also incompetent. Shooting defenceless people, especially children, is what they're really good at.

Anonymous said...

I don't think Israel will attack even by 'accident'. Israel is starting to get itself into bind. Despite the official support from the US, it is wavering, something is stirring. I see even small, that the trend is moving away Israel, nothing big yet, but Israel will make a big mistake if it assumes automatic support from western countries. In addition, that will the start of a rapid decline of the state Israel. It will be no more.

Anonymous said...

IF ANYONE CAN DEFEAT ISRAEL THEN THERE IS NO GOD. LETS SEE WHO HAS ENOUGH GUTS TO TAKE THAT GAMBLE. YHWH SAID HE IS THE PROTECTOR OF ISRAEL. GIVE IT YOUR BEST SHOT AND LETS SEE WHO WINS.
THE PEOPLE IN ISRAEL THAT CAUSE ALL THE PROBLEMS ARE THE ONES THAT CLAIMED TO BE JEWS BUT ARE NOT. JESUS SAID THEY ARE BUT A BUNCH OF VIPERS. HE THREW THE MONEY CHANGERS OUT OF THE TEMPLE. THE AVERAGE JEW IS JUST LIKE US. SICK OF WAR--BROKE--AND ALL THEY WANT IS PEACE. BLAME THE GUILTY PARTY AND NOT A COMPLETE RACE. DURING OUR WAR WITH ENGLAND THE JEWS RAISED MONEY AND GAVE IT TO US WITH NO OBLIGATION TO EVEN REPAY THEM. I AM A RED NECKED TEXAN AND I STAND WITH THE INNOCENT. BLAME THE GUILTY PARTY. DOES ALL IRANIANS WANT WAR-NO-SHOULD ALL NUCLEAR WEOPONS BE DESTROYED ? YES-YES-YES-THERE WILL BE NUCLEAR WAR AND MOST OF THE POPULATION WILL DIE DUE TO THE GREED OF THE ILLUMATI BANKSTERS AND NOT THE COMMON MAN. WAKE UP AND TELL YOUR FAMILY THAT YOU LOVE THEM WHILE THEY ARE STILL ALIVE. WAR IS COMING TO THE WORLD AND IT WILL HAPPEN REAL SOON.GOD HELP US ALL FOR LETTING THIS HAPPEN. by harley hooch.