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Friday, December 07, 2007


The recently released National Intelligence Estimate on Iran’s nuclear ambitions has sent the neoconservatives into a frenzy of disbelief and recrimination against the CIA suggesting even that the CIA are plotting to undermine President George W. Bush and his stance against Iran.

Bush and his Secretary of State, Condoleeza Rice, have been insisting that Iran has been developing production facilities for enriching uranium to the levels needed to produce a nuclear weapon. Bush and Rice have also been insisting that the world can stop Iran enriching uranium by using diplomacy via the UN but have not, however, taken the military option ‘off the table’. Meanwhile, Vice-President Cheney has been saying that diplomacy is not going to work inferring that the only option is to militarily destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. Cheney is backed up by neoconservatives both inside the administration and in the think-tanks and commentariat.

The neoconservatives have been the most ardent supporters of military action against Iran. In June of this year arch-neoconservative theorist, Norman Podhoretz, wrote his now well known article, ‘The Case for Bombing Iran’ in which he called, indeed prayed, for the destruction of Iran’s nuclear facilities. He felt sure that Bush “…will find it possible to take the only action that can stop Iran from following through on its evil intentions both toward us and toward Israel.” The NIE report, therefore, has come as a blow to Podhoretz. In his latest commentary Podhoretz accuses the CIA of plotting against Bush. He writes: “But I entertain an even darker suspicion. It is that the intelligence community, which has for some years now been leaking material calculated to undermine George W. Bush, is doing it again. This time the purpose is to head off the possibility that the President may order air strikes on the Iranian nuclear installations.”

Podhoretz is not the only neocon that is furious over the report. Ultra neocon warhawk Michael Ledeen, the so-called ‘Resident Scholar of the Freedom Chair’ at neocon headquarters, the American Enterprise Institute, finds the report simply unbelievable and can barely contain his seething cynicism and contempt of the ‘Intelligence Community’.

Max Boot, meanwhile, writing in the Wall Street Journal tries desperately to hide his disappointment of the implications of the report by reiterating the usual propaganda and rhetoric that the neocons have been spouting ever since the ousting of Shah and adding that he believes that many of the Arab states in the region wouldn’t mind seeing Iran attacked in order to ensure that Iran doesn’t become a regional nuclear power.

One of the most hawkish of all of the neocons, John Bolton, has also waded into the argument saying, predictably, that the report is simply wrong and the Intelligence Community “…is engaging in policy formulation rather than "intelligence" analysis, and too many in Congress and the media are happy about it.”

Bolton begrudgingly concedes, however, that: “While the president and others argue that we need to maintain pressure on Iran, this ‘intelligence’ torpedo has all but sunk those efforts, inadequate as they were.”

Certainly, short of some other startling evidence surfacing that contradicts the NIE report, or, alternatively, some other ‘event’ happening that can be blamed on Iran, the NIE report has effectively put an end to the notion that the US will unilaterally and pre-emptively attack Iran. But, as I and others have already written, the NEI report would not preclude the US from covertly supporting an initial attack on Iran by the Israelis and then overtly attacking the Iranians immediately after an Israeli initial attack in order to prevent an Iranian counter attack.

The NIE report has pushed the neocons further now into the Israeli right-wing Zionist camp because it is now only the Israelis that will be able to launch a pre-emptive attack against Iran.

But then, isn’t that what the neoconservatives wanted in the first place? An attack against the Iranians for the sake of Israel’s quest for a Greater Israel? And doesn’t it almost get Bush and the not-quite-as-hawkish members of his administration of the ‘warmonger’ hook – a call American public opinion is unlikely to tolerate?

So where does the NIE report now leave us?

Essentially, all it has done is put a slightly new slant on the propaganda and rhetoric against Iran. Since the issue of Iran’s nuclear ambitions is merely a smoke screen for Israeli and neocon calls for ‘regime change’ generally, the NIE report has simply moved the onus of effecting ‘regime change’ from the US to Israel.

Just as an aside, while the NIE report says that Iran stopped its ‘nuclear weapon program’ in 2003, the inference is that Iran had a nuclear weapon program prior to 2003. The reality is that there is still not a skerrick of evidence to suggest that Iran had a nuclear weapon program before 2003.


In a follow up to the above report, it seems Israel has been quick to warn Iran of military action telling Iran to “…co-operate or pay the price”. Since Iran has actually nothing to ‘co-operate’ about, especially in the light of the NIE report, one can expect that Israel will take military action.


George Warmonger said...


Daniel said...

A well-reasoned post, Damian, one that I hope is true because it seems to lessen the chance of WW3 slightly.

Although given the existence of religious crazies, political fascists and idiot imperialists one can't be sure.


Damian Lataan said...

As I’ve said Daniel, the Iranian nuclear issue is just a propaganda smokescreen to hide the Israeli’s and neocons real intent; regime change in Iran. Without regime change Israel is unable to move decisively against Hizbollah in Lebanon or Hamas in the Gaza and the West Bank therefore preventing the fulfilment of the Zionist dream of a Greater Israel. Irans so-called ‘nuclear ambitions’ and Ahmadinejad’s rhetoric are just convenient covers to demonise the Iranian Islamic state and to create a casus belli to attack it. The Israelis and the neocons were banging on about how terrible the Iranian Islamic state is long before Ahmadinejad appeared on the scene. Ahmadinejad’s rhetoric has simply been grabbed and ran with for purely propaganda purposes just as the Iranian nuclear weapons issue has been.

Unfortunately, the NIE hasn't lessened the liklihood of an Israeli attack against Iran; only the liklihood that it won't be the US that strikes first.

Anonymous said...

Is there any reason to think that this NIE is more accurate than the one pre-Iraq?

Anonymous said...

It IS very strange that on 9/11 and on the lead up to 9/11 it was Israelis caught in a variety of nefarious situations and not a single Arab.

How odd.

Anonymous said...

Well except for the Arabs flying the planes, dumbass.

profnasty said...

Who said Arabs were flying the planes?

Anonymous said...

There were no Arab names on the passenger lists.

Anonymous said...

We will have war with Iran. NIE produced this report to prove they have credibility then a month from now they will produce a report that determines Iran has nukes. Only Israel benefits from these endless Middle East wars. Iraq is the beginning. As we commit war-crimes in Baghdad, the US gov't commits treason at home by opening mail, eliminating habeas corpus, using the judiciary to steal private lands, banning books like America Deceived (book) from Amazon and Wikipedia, conducting warrantless wiretaps and engaging in illegal wars on behalf of AIPAC's 'money-men'. Soon, another US false-flag operation will occur (sinking of an Aircraft Carrier by Mossad) and the US will invade Iran.. Then we'll invade Syria, then Saudi Arabia, then Lebanon (again) then ....

Daniel said...

'Only Israel benefits from these endless M.E. wars...'

Rubbish, the American arms industry continues to make and sell most of the world's arms and makes mega-bucks out of war! Via its militaristic imperialism, it is also gaining control of oil which, in the future, will be a scarce commodity.

But I do agree with you that Iran will probably be attacked.


Liberal White Boy said...

Time to wake up and smell the fraud (Israel). Thanks for blogging for Palestine.

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